I have read many of the books on history and geography by Robert Kaplan who is a journalist with decades of experience in foreign policy. His latest, THE TRAGIC MIND, is the fruit of his disillusionment with recent American involvement in the Middle East. In this unusual short book he has drawn on the Greek and Shakespearian tragedies to illustrate the hubris of wars and counsels humility in dealing with evil in the world. His conclusion is that statesmanship requires choosing between two goods not between good and evil. He comments:

“To believe that the power of the United States can always right the world is a violation of the tragic sensibility…the elites trust that every problem is fixable, and that to disagree with this constitutes fatalism…Tragedy is about bravely trying to fix the world, but only within limits, while knowing that many struggles are poignant and tragic because they are futile…Tragedy is often about accepting the lesser evil.”

Kaplan observed this in Iraq and in Afghanistan, where good intentions, which he supported at the time, resulted in worse outcomes. He opines that life is torment as Dostoevsky, Henry James and Joseph Conrad wrote about the cruelest facts of human nature. The world is in extreme disorder and several major Middle Eastern countries have collapsed into chaos. The United States, Russian and China edge closer to outright war and social media inflames ethnic, national and religious divides. Just look at Ukraine.

He loathed the tyranny of Saddam Hussein who kept order by oppression. But the core question he asks is what if there is no order at all? He experienced in Iraq the threat of a throng of small militia groups. The worst regime is less dangerous and terrifying than no regime at all. Elites who live in comfort of suburbia have never had to fear anarchy. Order comes before freedom, since without order there can be no freedom or liberty for anybody and no justice. Our present generation takes order completely for granted. Order remains the fundamental question behind the politics of many countries.

“Afghanistan and Iraq were ghastly failures because of the way the forces of local history and culture vanquished American ideals of democracy. The Middle East has never been an extension of America’s very specific historical experience. We never learned what the ancient Greeks knew: all things cannot be fixed, so we have to accept much of the world as it is…History counsels prudence.”

Kaplan’s book should be a primer for every political and military leader, public intellectual, opinion writer and social activist. It is an antidote to utopian idealism an a cautionary tale to interference in the affairs of other nations and tribal societies.


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